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FRED Blog Interesting graphs from the FRED library
- Real GDP growth by state: Second quarter 2026
on 1 Ottobre 2026 at 13:00On September 30, 2026, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released real GDP data for all US states for the second quarter of 2026. The FRED map above shows the annualized growth rates from the previous quarter: Red denotes contraction … Continue reading →
- What is the Treasury general account?
on 28 Settembre 2026 at 13:00The takeaway When you hear commentary on the federal government’s financial situation, the information is often based on the money flowing into and out of the Treasury general account. The US government’s checking account As with any household or business, … Continue reading →
- Estimating the risk of recession in the US
on 24 Settembre 2026 at 13:00The takeaway A new dataset in FRED provides the monthly probability the US economy is in recession. The latest data, for August 2026, show that probability was 0.08%. The data FRED has added probability estimates of the US economy being … Continue reading →
- FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, September 2026
on 21 Settembre 2026 at 13:00In a previous FRED Blog post, we discussed the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released by the FOMC this past June. In this blog post, we again use ALFRED to compare the latest set of projections released in September 2026 … Continue reading →
- Using options prices to measure financial risk : The Kansas City Fed Policy Rate Skew
on 17 Settembre 2026 at 13:00The takeaway The Kansas City Fed uses options prices to measure how financial markets perceive the balance of risks for future short-term interest rates: a.k.a., the KC Policy Rate Skew. The data Options are publicly traded financial instruments that reflect … Continue reading →